Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000859 0.000903 0.000947 0.000996 0.001048 0.001101 0.001161
2025-08-10 0.000779 0.000842 0.000907 0.000982 0.001064 0.001153 0.001255
2025-08-17 0.000713 0.000786 0.000866 0.000958 0.001064 0.001181 0.001321
2025-08-24 0.000666 0.000747 0.000837 0.000945 0.001071 0.001214 0.001390
2025-08-31 0.000635 0.000723 0.000823 0.000945 0.001090 0.001260 0.001474
2025-09-07 0.000604 0.000696 0.000803 0.000935 0.001096 0.001288 0.001536
2025-09-14 0.000578 0.000674 0.000787 0.000929 0.001105 0.001318 0.001600
2025-09-21 0.000554 0.000653 0.000770 0.000920 0.001109 0.001342 0.001656
2025-09-28 0.000531 0.000631 0.000752 0.000908 0.001108 0.001359 0.001704
2025-10-05 0.000505 0.000605 0.000727 0.000887 0.001094 0.001357 0.001724
2025-10-12 0.000488 0.000590 0.000715 0.000880 0.001097 0.001378 0.001776
2025-10-19 0.000472 0.000575 0.000703 0.000873 0.001100 0.001398 0.001826
2025-10-26 0.000462 0.000568 0.000700 0.000880 0.001123 0.001446 0.001922
2025-11-02 0.000448 0.000555 0.000690 0.000877 0.001132 0.001477 0.001994
2025-11-09 0.000429 0.000535 0.000671 0.000860 0.001121 0.001480 0.002026
2025-11-16 0.000414 0.000520 0.000657 0.000849 0.001119 0.001494 0.002074
2025-11-23 0.000404 0.000512 0.000651 0.000850 0.001132 0.001529 0.002156
2025-11-30 0.000392 0.000499 0.000639 0.000841 0.001131 0.001546 0.002208
2025-12-07 0.000381 0.000488 0.000630 0.000836 0.001135 0.001567 0.002270
2025-12-14 0.000370 0.000477 0.000620 0.000828 0.001134 0.001583 0.002323
2025-12-21 0.000359 0.000465 0.000608 0.000818 0.001130 0.001593 0.002366
2025-12-28 0.000345 0.000450 0.000590 0.000799 0.001112 0.001580 0.002372
2026-01-04 0.000337 0.000441 0.000582 0.000793 0.001113 0.001597 0.002427